Why you need quantitative risk analysis to store carbon effectively

Subsurface storage often comes with a range of uncertainties, which means there’s no single “best” model for simulating a single "best” result. You need to assess a multitude of potential outcomes given the possible shifts that may occur in your parameters. And you do this by leveraging a collection of subsurface models—or model ensemble—rather than just one. Then you can assign a numeric value to the probability of each outcome unfolding and combine it with the severity of that event to better understand the overall risk.